iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF

Investors are growing increasingly concerned about the potential impact of the mounting U.S. debt on the bond market, with the issue expected to take center stage as the presidential election approaches. What Happened: The U.S. government’s debt is expected to balloon, potentially overshadowing an anticipated bond rally. This is due to the ongoing large fiscal deficits, which show no signs of abating ahead of the presidential election, Reuters reported on Friday. Investors are already adjusting their portfolios to mitigate potential losses if Treasury yields surge due to supply and demand imbalances. There are also concerns that the uncertainty surrounding the necessary debt for deficit spending could destabilize the ...Full story available on Benzinga.com

Related tickers: BND, EMB, SPY, QQQ.

A major trend shift is unfolding in the bond market, as key Treasury yields are currently testing the support of the crucial 200-day moving average, following the release of benign economic data that has cemented investor bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts. Last month, the inflation rate calculated using the consumer price index (CPI) came in at 3.4% compared to the same month last year, down from 3.5% in March, and in line with the forecasted 3.4% increase. The “core” inflation rate, which excludes volatile energy and food prices, also matched estimates, falling from 3.8% to 3.6%. April's inflation reading has raised hopes that the disinflation trend may restart after three consecutive higher-than-predicted CPI readings in the first quarter. In his recent comments, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell downplayed concerns about a possible hike in interest rates, signaling that the next adjustment would likely be a reduction. However, he emphasized this cut might come later than the markets initially anticipated. Money markets are currently factoring in a 50 basis point reduction in interest rates by the end of the year, with a 70% chance for the Federal Reserve to begin its loosening cycle in September. Treasury Yields Eye 200-Day Moving Average Support The yield on the benchmark ...Full story available on Benzinga.com

Related tickers: BND, EMB, JNK, LQD, TLT.